Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1357SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
AA 1357 · MIA → JFK
departs 7:50 PM ET · arrives 11:01 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 43h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
38%chance · ±4 pts+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.