Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1418SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 1418 · BOS → MIA
departs 5:10 AM ET · arrives 8:38 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 31h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
10%chance · ±3 pts+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.