Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2402 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Today

AA 2402 · CLT → RDU

departs 2:26 PM ET · arrives 3:25 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 12:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?

45% chance · ±0 pts +15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to RDU?

On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
26%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 2pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RDU

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

RDU (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2402 · CLT → RDU

Odds over time

How late will it get to RDU?