Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2441 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow

AA 2441 · CLT → SAT

departs 8:19 PM ET · arrives 10:16 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 26h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±5 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2.1 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at SAT that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 8pm departures from CLT are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAT (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precip2.09 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2441 · CLT → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?