tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2819 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today

AA 2819 · ORD → PHL

departs 3:29 PM CT · arrives 6:47 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 9:00 AM ET · 8h before departure
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
78% chance · ±0 pts +22 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2.9d 2d 1d 12h Now Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHL?

  1. On time or early
    22%
  2. 15–30 min late
    25%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    0%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    39%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    12%
  6. Cancelled
    3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.