tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3165 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 3165 · SJU → MIA

departs 7:14 PM AT · arrives 10:05 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
42% chance · ±1 pts −2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 2.8d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MIA?

  1. On time or early
    57%
  2. 15–30 min late
    16%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    12%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    10%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.