tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 416 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow

AA 416 · MIA → JAX

departs 10:53 PM ET · arrives 12:15 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 35h before departure
Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?
46% chance · ±4 pts +10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 2.9d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to JAX?

  1. On time or early
    51%
  2. 15–30 min late
    12%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    14%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    10%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    7%
  6. Cancelled
    5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.