Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1471SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
AS 1471 · SEA → SAN
departs 7:26 AM PT · arrives 10:23 AM PT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 20h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
33%chance · ±0 pts+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREGood. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.