Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 438SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
AS 438 · SEA → IAH
departs 10:52 AM PT · arrives 5:16 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
44%chance · ±5 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.