Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1154
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
B6 1154 · PBI → JFK
departs 10:44 AM ET · arrives 1:34 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 22%
Sat 10/3 19%
Sun 10/4 23%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 17%
Wed 10/7 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±1 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
28%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Now
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave PBI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +23 pts in 24h
+23 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
28%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
1.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PBI that day
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 27% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
10am departures from PBI are usually not late
Weather at each end
PBI (origin)
Gusts 40 kt Ceiling 1,600 ft Visibility 0.75 mi Precip 5.27 in
JFK (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.