Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1254
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
B6 1254 · DCA → BOS
departs 1:25 PM ET · arrives 2:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 66%
Wed 9/30 38%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 31%
Sat 10/3 25%
Sun 10/4 30%
Mon 10/5 40%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 32% of the time recently
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
1pm departures from DCA are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA
↓
Visibility down to 2 mi forecast at BOS that day
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BOS (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.