Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 282
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
B6 282 · IAH → JFK
departs 6:17 PM CT · arrives 11:00 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 41%
Wed 9/30 47%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 40%
Sat 10/3 42%
Sun 10/4 47%
Mon 10/5 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±6 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH
↑
This flight has been late 45% of the time recently
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 4,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.15 in
JFK (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.