Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 282 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

B6 282 · IAH → JFK

departs 6:17 PM CT · arrives 11:00 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 66h before departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±11 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to JFK?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 45% of the time recently

↑ 6pm departures from IAH are often late

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling1,200 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.46 in

JFK (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 282 · IAH → JFK

Odds over time

How late will it get to JFK?