Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 625
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
B6 625 · JFK → TPA
departs 2:56 PM ET · arrives 5:58 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 23h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 35%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 37%
Sat 10/3 35%
Sun 10/4 32%
Mon 10/5 29%
Tue 10/6 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±4 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 41% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
TPA (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.45 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.