Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 955
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
B6 955 · JFK → DCA
departs 9:30 PM ET · arrives 10:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 34%
Wed 9/30 36%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 44%
Sat 10/3 37%
Sun 10/4 47%
Mon 10/5 42%
Odds over time
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±14 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 36% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at DCA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DCA?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 43% of the time recently
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
9pm departures from JFK are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DCA (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.