Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 955
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
B6 955 · JFK → DCA
departs 9:30 PM ET · arrives 10:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 54h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 46%
Fri 10/2 73%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 46%
Mon 10/5 42%
Tue 10/6 34%
Wed 10/7 40%
Odds over time
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.0d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 36% · changed – in 24h
–
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed – in 24h
–
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at DCA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DCA?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 43% of the time recently
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
JFK is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 5,333 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DCA (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.19 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.