DL 1429 · DTW → CLT

departs 2:05 PM ET · arrives 3:55 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from DTW are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DTW that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.33 in

CLT (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1429 · DTW → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?