Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1751
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
DL 1751 · BUF → MSP
departs 7:36 PM ET · arrives 8:52 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 20%
Sat 10/3 14%
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 15%
Tue 10/6 18%
Wed 10/7 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±1 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave BUF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 35% of the time recently
↑
Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 1,200 ft forecast at BUF that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
BUF usually runs smoothly
↓
Gusts to 25 kt forecast at MSP that day
Weather at each end
BUF (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 1,200 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.28 in
MSP (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 6 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.