Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2187
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
DL 2187 · MSP → MIA
departs 6:53 PM CT · arrives 11:35 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 21%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 24%
Sat 10/3 19%
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 18%
Tue 10/6 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±1 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at MIA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, 0.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day
↑
6pm departures from MSP are often late
↑
Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
MIA (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 2,800 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.63 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.