DL 2400 · RSW → MSP

departs 2:32 PM ET · arrives 5:04 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MSP?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
11%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at RSW that day

↑ 2pm departures from RSW are often late

↑ Arrivals into MSP at that hour are often late

↓ RSW usually runs smoothly

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

RSW (origin) Gusts44 kt Ceiling1,400 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip0.80 in

MSP (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2400 · RSW → MSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSP?