Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2888
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
DL 2888 · MIA → DCA
departs 11:22 AM ET · arrives 2:05 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 27%
Sat 10/3 14%
Sun 10/4 16%
Mon 10/5 17%
Tue 10/6 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±4 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at DCA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DCA?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, 0.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day
↑
Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MIA (origin)
Gusts 27 kt
Ceiling 2,600 ft
Visibility 5 mi
Precip 0.63 in
DCA (destination)
Gusts 9 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 9 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.