Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2971
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
DL 2971 · MSP → DFW
departs 2:47 PM CT · arrives 5:16 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 50%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 44%
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 22%
Tue 10/6 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±10 pts
−18 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −18 pts in 24h
−18 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −17 pts in 24h
−17 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 1.7 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 1.74 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.