DL 2971 · MSP → DFW

departs 2:47 PM CT · arrives 5:16 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±5 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
28%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ Gusts to 31 kt forecast at DFW that day

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at MSP that day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precip0.02 in

DFW (destination) Gusts31 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.12 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2971 · MSP → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?