Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2971 LANDED 4:58 PM CT, ~7 MIN EARLY

Tuesday, September 29 Today

DL 2971 · MSP → DFW

took off 2:58 PM CT · landed 4:58 PM CT (scheduled 2:47 PM CT → 5:16 PM CT)

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DFW?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,000 ft, visibility down to 1.25 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at MSP that day

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ 2pm departures from MSP are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precip0.47 in

DFW (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2971 · MSP → DFW

Odds over time

How late did it get to DFW?