Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1068
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Yesterday
F9 1068 · IAH → MIA
departs 8:37 PM CT · arrives 12:31 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 36%
Sat 10/3 38%
Sun 10/4 41%
Mon 10/5 27%
Tue 10/6 20%
Wed 10/7 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at MIA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
28%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Visibility down to 1.75 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at MIA that day
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at IAH that day
↓
Other factors
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.05 in
MIA (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 2,000 ft Visibility 1.75 mi Precip 1.25 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.