Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3417
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Yesterday
F9 3417 · SAT → LAS
departs 9:32 PM CT · arrives 10:19 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 41%
Sat 10/3 26%
Sun 10/4 30%
Mon 10/5 25%
Tue 10/6 16%
Wed 10/7 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±3 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave SAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 50% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 557 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi, 3.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at SAT that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
↓
SAT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SAT (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 540 ft Visibility 1.5 mi Precip 3.40 in
LAS (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.