Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3380
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
MQ 3380 · MIA → TUL
departs 9:25 PM ET · arrives 11:43 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 AM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 41%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 22%
Sat 10/3 15%
Sun 10/4 14%
Mon 10/5 12%
Tue 10/6 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±6 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at TUL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to TUL?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 25 kt, 0.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 1.8 in of rain forecast at TUL that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
MIA (origin)
Gusts 25 kt
Ceiling 4,500 ft
Visibility 7 mi
Precip 0.50 in
TUL (destination)
Gusts 17 kt
Ceiling 700 ft
Visibility 5 mi
Precip 1.77 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.