Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3417
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
MQ 3417 · BHM → DFW
departs 7:05 PM CT · arrives 9:20 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 3h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 58%
Sat 10/3 46%
Sun 10/4 38%
Mon 10/5 24%
Tue 10/6 15%
Wed 10/7 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
75%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
75%
Leave 15+ late
60%
Arrive 1h+ late
64%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 56% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
75%
Yes 75%
No 25%
Leave BHM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 54% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +29 pts in 24h
+29 pts
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
23%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
42%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 4.2 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Other factors
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BHM (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 5,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 4.19 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.