MQ 3485 · DFW → CLL

departs 4:26 PM CT · arrives 5:28 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at CLL more than 15 minutes late?

75% chance · ±0 pts +22 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CLL?

On time or early
19%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
23%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
23%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 4.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, visibility down to 1.5 mi, 1.2 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at CLL that day

↑ 4pm departures from DFW are often late

↓ CLL usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip4.74 in

CLL (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip1.16 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3485 · DFW → CLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLL?