Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3485 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

MQ 3485 · DFW → CRP

departs 2:25 PM CT · arrives 3:45 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 8:00 PM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at CRP more than 15 minutes late?

48% chance · ±6 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CRP?

On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 0.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at CRP that day

↑ 2pm departures from DFW are often late

↓ CRP usually runs smoothly

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.83 in

CRP (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.79 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3485 · DFW → CRP

Odds over time

How late will it get to CRP?