Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3526
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
MQ 3526 · FAR → DFW
departs 11:33 AM CT · arrives 2:17 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 18h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 41%
Sat 10/3 9%
Sun 10/4 12%
Mon 10/5 14%
Tue 10/6 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
64%
chance · ±10 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
64%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
16%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Leave FAR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
31%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
16%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 2.4 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FAR
↓
FAR usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
FAR (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 2.37 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.