Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3526 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

MQ 3526 · FAR → DFW

departs 11:33 AM CT · arrives 2:17 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±3 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FAR

↓ FAR usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

FAR (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.83 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3526 · FAR → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?