Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3526
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
MQ 3526 · FAR → DFW
departs 11:33 AM CT · arrives 2:17 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Thu 10/1 64%
Fri 10/2 41%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 12%
Mon 10/5 14%
Tue 10/6 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±1 pts
+16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave FAR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FAR
↓
FAR usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
FAR (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.32 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.