Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3593
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
MQ 3593 · DFW → ICT
departs 2:27 PM CT · arrives 3:51 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 58%
Sat 10/3 35%
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 14%
Wed 10/7 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?
88%
chance · ±0 pts
+24 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
88%
Leave 15+ late
72%
Arrive 1h+ late
49%
Cancelled
31%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 77% · changed +24 pts in 24h
+24 pts
88%
Yes 88%
No 12%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 61% · changed +18 pts in 24h
+18 pts
72%
Yes 72%
No 28%
Arrive at ICT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +27 pts in 24h
+27 pts
49%
Yes 49%
No 51%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
How late will it get to ICT?
On time or early
9%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
24%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
31%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 1 mi, 6.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at ICT that day
↑
2pm departures from DFW are often late
↓
ICT usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 1,600 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 5.38 in
ICT (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.88 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.