Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3593 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

MQ 3593 · DFW → ICT

departs 2:27 PM CT · arrives 3:51 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±12 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ICT?

On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 2pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Arrivals into ICT at that hour are often late

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ ICT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.83 in

ICT (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility5.66667 mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3593 · DFW → ICT

Odds over time

How late will it get to ICT?