Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3657
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Yesterday
MQ 3657 · MAF → DFW
departs 8:23 PM CT · arrives 9:48 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 56%
Sat 10/3 39%
Sun 10/4 26%
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 15%
Wed 10/7 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±2 pts
−17 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
65%
Arrive 1h+ late
33%
Cancelled
14%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed −17 pts in 24h
−17 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave MAF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 61% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
65%
Yes 65%
No 35%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
23%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
14%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 4.1 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Gusts to 25 kt forecast at MAF that day
Weather at each end
MAF (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 4.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.