Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3938
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
MQ 3938 · MLI → DFW
departs 11:09 AM CT · arrives 1:24 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 46%
Sat 10/3 30%
Sun 10/4 11%
Mon 10/5 12%
Tue 10/6 12%
Wed 10/7 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
68%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
68%
Leave 15+ late
61%
Arrive 1h+ late
39%
Cancelled
11%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 68% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
68%
Yes 68%
No 32%
Leave MLI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 61% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
61%
Yes 61%
No 39%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
28%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
25%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
11%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 1 mi, 6.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 1.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MLI that day
↓
11am departures from MLI are usually not late
↓
This flight has been late 11% of the time recently
Weather at each end
MLI (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 1.5 mi Precip 1.50 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 4.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.