Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3938 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

MQ 3938 · MLI → DFW

departs 11:09 AM CT · arrives 1:24 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 1:00 AM ET · 35h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±7 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↓ This flight has been late 11% of the time recently

↓ 11am departures from MLI are usually not late

Weather at each end

MLI (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.05 in

DFW (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.69 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3938 · MLI → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?