Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4079
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Yesterday
MQ 4079 · DFW → LIT
departs 9:11 PM CT · arrives 10:35 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 46%
Sat 10/3 41%
Sun 10/4 33%
Mon 10/5 17%
Tue 10/6 15%
Wed 10/7 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at LIT more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±0 pts
−15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed −15 pts in 24h
−15 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at LIT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to LIT?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
30%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 4.1 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
9pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 4.07 in
LIT (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.