Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5373 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1

OH 5373 · DCA → MSN

departs 10:00 PM ET · arrives 11:19 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at MSN more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±2 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MSN?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 40% of the time recently

↑ 10pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1.25 mi, 1.2 in of rain forecast at MSN that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

↓ MSN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

MSN (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precip1.26 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5373 · DCA → MSN

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSN?