Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5451 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Today

OH 5451 · CLT → PIA

departs 10:51 PM ET · arrives 11:58 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at PIA more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±2 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PIA?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at PIA that day

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ 10pm departures from CLT are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ PIA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PIA (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility0.8 mi Precip0.76 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5451 · CLT → PIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIA?