Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5451 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

OH 5451 · CLT → PIA

departs 10:51 PM ET · arrives 11:58 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 8:00 PM ET · 27h before departure

Arrive at PIA more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±2 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PIA?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ 10pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ Arrivals into PIA at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PIA (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility5.85714 mi Precip0.24 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5451 · CLT → PIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIA?