Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4987
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 4987 · FNT → ORD
departs 5:40 PM ET · arrives 6:18 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 53%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 33%
Sat 10/3 31%
Sun 10/4 34%
Mon 10/5 29%
Tue 10/6 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
73%
chance · ±15 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
73%
Leave 15+ late
59%
Arrive 1h+ late
43%
Cancelled
16%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
73%
Yes 73%
No 27%
Leave FNT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
59%
Yes 59%
No 41%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
23%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
21%
Cancelled
16%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at FNT that day
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
FNT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
FNT (origin)
Gusts 19 kt
Ceiling 400 ft
Visibility 3 mi
Precip 0.40 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling 500 ft
Visibility 2 mi
Precip 0.74 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.