Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4987 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

OO 4987 · FNT → ORD

departs 5:40 PM ET · arrives 6:18 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 68h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±3 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 36% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Other factors

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

FNT (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.65 in

ORD (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility3.66667 mi Precip0.39 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4987 · FNT → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?