Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5552
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
OO 5552 · ORD → DCA
departs 4:00 PM CT · arrives 7:17 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 4:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 27%
Sun 10/4 26%
Mon 10/5 24%
Tue 10/6 21%
Wed 10/7 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±5 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
33%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 50% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at DCA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to DCA?
On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
4pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late
↓
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,000 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.93 in
DCA (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.