Schedule: a typical Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5552 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

OO 5552 · ORD → DCA

departs 4:00 PM CT · arrives 7:17 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 8:00 PM ET · 69h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at DCA that day

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ DCA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DCA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.62 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5552 · ORD → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?