Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5758
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Yesterday
OO 5758 · IAH → MEM
departs 11:55 AM CT · arrives 1:41 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 27%
Sat 10/3 17%
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 20%
Wed 10/7 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±0 pts
+17 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at MEM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MEM?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
11am departures from IAH are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MEM
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 21 kt
Ceiling 2,500 ft
Visibility 7 mi
Precip 0.05 in
MEM (destination)
Gusts 21 kt
Ceiling 3,900 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.