Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5863
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
OO 5863 · LAX → SBP
departs 10:38 PM PT · arrives 11:44 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 18%
Sat 10/3 14%
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 15%
Tue 10/6 11%
Wed 10/7 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at SBP more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±0 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
24%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SBP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at SBP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to SBP?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
LAX is busy at that time
↓
Cloud base down to 1,000 ft forecast at LAX that day
↓
This flight has been late 17% of the time recently
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 1,000 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
SBP (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.25 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.