Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5917
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
OO 5917 · IAH → ASE
departs 4:55 PM CT · arrives 6:45 PM MT
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 25%
Sat 10/3 26%
Sun 10/4 21%
Mon 10/5 16%
Tue 10/6 11%
Wed 10/7 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at ASE more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ASE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at ASE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ASE?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at IAH that day
↑
4pm departures from IAH are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ASE
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.05 in
ASE (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.