Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5917
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
OO 5917 · IAH → ASE
departs 4:55 PM CT · arrives 6:45 PM MT
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 60h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 52%
Fri 10/2 22%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 21%
Mon 10/5 16%
Tue 10/6 11%
Wed 10/7 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at ASE more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ASE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed – in 24h
–
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at ASE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to ASE?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.6 in of rain forecast at IAH that day
↑
This flight has been late 20% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ASE
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 3,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.65 in
ASE (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.